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The
retention level of the risk financing programmes is frequently
defined or dictated by the (re)insurance market and does not
result from a proactive internal process.Therefore, the close
connection which must exist between the retention level of
the risk financing programmes and the financial requirements
of the group is not always obvious.
Indeed,
the retention level has to be fixed by the management relying
on the aggregate annual impact of the risks on the financial
statements and ratios of the group rather than simply complying
with a market demand or considering the arbitrary concept
of " risk appetite ", as it is often referred to.
In
addition, the appropriate retention level must be determined
on the basis of the surplus between the total financial capacity
of the group and the financing it needs in order to achieve
its core strategic priorities.
Furthermore,
limiting the analysis to the direct impact of risks is not
sufficient, since all the chain reactions generated by the
risks on the balance sheet, as well as on the refinancing
costs and capacity of the group, have to be estimated in order
to obtain reliable results.
Thus
a comprehensive modeling of the financial sensitivity of the
group has to be carried out in order to define to what level
of risk the impact is sustainable and above what level the
risk has to be transferred to third parties. It also makes
it possible to identify the most sensitive ratios requiring
protection. The results differ widely from one company to
another (even between companies of same size and from same
sector) as they are governed by various parameters : financial
structure, debt ratio, liquidity ratio, investors' perception,
etc.
Ideally,
this analysis has to be performed not only at group level
but also at business unit level, since the retention capacity
and the chain reactions can be very different, depending on
the financial specifics of each entity.
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